NFL Picks

Tuesday, September 26, 2006

 

I SHOULD HAVE KNOWN BETTER...WEEK 4

I admit, it’s all my fault. I never should have tempted fate and started bragging about my “perfect game”. Atlanta looked pathetic and Michael "“I can win the game by myself"” Vick has replaced Eli Manning as the most overrated quarterback ever. I'’m assuming they didn'’t throw the game on purpose to help out the once great city of New Orleans get back on its feet. More about that some other time.
First, a summary of week three: Won 5, Lost 1
Second, bragging about the wins: Four of my “dog” picks won outright, and the favorite (Washington) clobbered Huston.
Third, making excuses for the losses: Atlanta sucks. I'’ve already said enough about them.
TOTAL TO DATE: Won 11, Lost 3. That'’s almost 79% winners, and that'’s pretty damn good and pretty damn profitable.
Here'’s the line for this weekend and it turns out I was right. There appears to be a lot of playable games:


Favorite...........My Line.......Dog................"Offical Line"


Atlanta.................1............Arizona................Atlanta.............8

Dallas..................9.5..........Tennessee.......... Dallas.............10

Indianapolis........18...........N.Y. Jets............ Indianapolis............9

Miami..................11.5........Houston...............Miami...........4

Minnesota..............5..........Buffalo................. Buffalo...........1.5

Carolina................16..........New Orleans........Carolina.............8.5

San Diego............ 7.5.........Baltimore............. San Diego............2.5

Kansas City..........16.........San Francisco.......Kansas City............7

Detroit................EVEN.....St. Louis............... St. Louis..........................5.5

Cleveland...............1..........Oakland.................Cleveland................2.5

Jacksonville..........3...........Washington.......... Jacksonville.............2.5

Cincinnati..............3...........New England....... Cincinnati............6

Seattle.................6.5..........Chicago................. Chicago..............3
Monday Night October 2

Philadelphia.....EVEN.............. Green Bay...............Philadelphia.................. 10.5

I have Atlanta one point better then Arizona and line has Arizona getting 8. Right now I despise Atlanta and would happily pick against them as the line dictates I should. I do so reluctantly. Take Arizona.
The Jets are getting 9 points, half of what it should be. Take Indy.
Miami's giving Huston 4, Miami should be getting it together by now, take Miami.
Once again Buffalo's favored at home...I don't think so. Take Minnisota.
Carolina versus New Orleans. Time for the big let down. Take Carolina.
Kansas City is give San Fransisco only seven since Green won't be playing. And Frisco has who? Take KC.
I have Detroit even with St. Louis. This may be the only time I take Detroit.
Seattle is 6.5 points better then Chicago but they're getting points because Alexander is out. This may be the last time you'll get Seattle and points. Take Seattle.
Once again Monday night looks like a major play. I have the game even and Green Bay is getting 10.5. You want to give Brett Favre 10.5 points? I'll take it. Green Bay's the play.

That's nine plays this weekend and you probably won't see that too often. Five early games, three later games, and Monday night. Lot's of action. Lot's of potential profit. More about that later.


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