NFL Picks

I ended up 4-4 last week when I should have been, at the very least, 4-3 and if I would have followed my original advice, I could have been 5-2. Woulda, coulda, shoulda. Instead, I’m now 43-34-1 on the year. I should have passed on the Pittsburgh game like I said I was, and those twenty point spreads are ludicrous in the NFL. They may work for college, but when the big boys play it’s just nuts.

At this point in the season the lines tighten up so I need to loosen up my criteria. Besides, unless I start sweeping a bunch of days, my stats will hardly be impressive. Here goes:

JACKSONVILLE 10½ Carolina: This game is a lot closer to even then it is to this screwy line. Take the Panthers as BEST BET ONE!

Dallas 10 DETROIT: I have Dallas +8.5…PASS.

BUFFALO 7 Miami: I make the Bills –2.5. PASS.

PHILADELPHIA 3 N.Y Giants: I suppose the Eagles are getting points because it’s a home game. I make it even. PASS.

GREEN BAY 11 Oakland: That’s what I’d make it, more or less. Farve is too big a question this week, so PASS.

NEW ENGLAND 10½ Pittsburgh: I make it 9 ½ and can’ say I disappointed. This is another PASS.

TENNESSEE PK San Diego: Really? I make the Chargers +5 ½. I have to make this PASS.

CINCINNATI 8 St Louis: Bengals +6. Another PASS.

Tampa Bay 2½ HOUSTON: I make it Tampa +6.5. No big enough for a play. PASS.

SEATTLE 6½ Arizona: I make it Seattle –5 ½. PASS.

Minnesota 8 SAN FRANCISCO: I make the Vikings +13. PASS.

Cleveland 3½ N.Y JETS: Close enough for me to PASS.

DENVER 6½ Kansas City: Too close. PASS.

Indianapolis 9½ BALTIMORE: I make Indy +16 and my SECOND BEST BET.

Monday Night

New Orleans 4 ATLANTA: I make the Saints 10 ½ point favorites. BEST BET THREE.

Only three BEST BETS so I have to stretch myself. Here goes, I’m adding the Chargers and Tampa Bay to my picks four a FIVE BEST BET TOTAL.

Labels: football betting, football picks

posted by PONUSJOE  # 8:27 AM 0 comments

I’m 39-30-1 and denied my first perfect week when the Steelers and Dolphins put on the most inept display of “professional football” in recent history. Surprisingly both teams are favored this week and they are automatic “hunch bets” for me (i.e. bet against them). Here’s this weeks lines and picks:

ST. LOUIS 3 Atlanta: I make it this line just the opposite. The Rams are may have found themselves, but my numbers say the Falcons by three. I can’t believe this myself, but Atlanta is BEST BET ONE!

WASHINGTON 6 Buffalo: I make this line the same. Thank God because I wouldn’t touch this game. The Redskins have that unknown “emotional” factor, and the Bills are starting their better quarterback and may have a running game. Pass.

MINNESOTA 3½ Detroit: I have this as an even game. The 3 ½ isn’t big enough to make it bettable so this is a PASS.

TENNESSEE 4 Houston: I make it Titans –1. Only a slight edge so it’s a PASS.

INDIANAPOLIS 7 Jacksonville: I make it Colts –8 and too close to call. PASS.

MIAMI 1 New York Jets: The two worst (currently) teams in the NFL face off and who knows? Miami fought the “mighty” Steelers to a standstill, and the Jets’ quarterback is questionable. But the Jets did beat the Steelers and since I have a lack of picks this week I’m taking New York as BEST BET TWO.

San Diego 5½ KANSAS CITY: I make it Chargers –3. I hate these goofy 5 ½ point lines. Where the hell do they come from? Again, due to lack of solid plays I’m taking the Chiefs as BEST BET THREE.

PHILADELPHIA 3 Seattle: The Eagles put on quite the show against New England, but I have the line Seattle –6. The Seahawks are BEST BET FOUR.

CAROLINA 2½ San Francisco: I have to agree with this line, so it’s a PASS.

NEW ORLEANS 3 Tampa Bay: I make this Tampa Bay +4 and the Bucs’ are BEST BET FIVE.

ARIZONA PK Cleveland: Line looks right to me. PASS.

Denver 3½ OAKLAND: I have the Raiders +2 and that makes them BEST BET SIX.

New York Giants 2 CHICAGO: I have this game even and that makes it a PASS.

PITTSBURGH 7½ Cincinnati: I have the Steelers +11. This game should be a pass, but it’s close enough that I’ll go against them since they barely beat Miami and lost to the Jets. The Bengals are BEST BET SEVEN.

Monday Night

New England 20 BALTIMORE: I make the Patriots a 30-point favorite. After mocking last week’s 24-point line against the Eagles you’d think I’d be leaning toward the Ravens. Not so. Take the Pats as BEST BET EIGHT.

I started out thinking the Miami and Pittsburgh games would be passes, but I can’t resist. This turns out to be the most games I’ve ever taken in one week. I contemplated taking those two and Monday night off my recommendations but what the hell, I’m due for a big week.

Labels: football betting, football picks

posted by PONUSJOE  # 7:06 AM 0 comments