NFL Picks

Tuesday, September 19, 2006

 

WEEK THREE

First, a summary of week two: Won 4, Lost 1
Second, bragging about the wins: What’s there to say? Four and one! Okay, I hedged on Denver since Plummer appears to be off his meds. I’m still hesitating to downgrade them but I’d be cautious. The Giants won out right. Indy destroyed Huston and Seattle seems to be getting back into form.
Third, making excuses for the losses: Hey, Green Bay was in it until the end. They couldn’t take advantage of their early led.
TOTAL TO DATE: Won 6, Lost 3. That’s 67% winners my friend!
Okay, here’s the new and improved line (since some people are having a hard time understanding this):

September 24


Favorite....................... My Line......................... Dog............................. Official Line


Carolina......................... 6.5............................... Tampa Bay............................. Carolina........ 3

Chicago.......................... 4.5............................... Minnesota.............................. Chicago.......... 4

Pittsburgh..................... 2.5............................... Cincinnati............................... Pittsburgh..... 3

Detroit................ 1..... .......................... Green Bay............................. Detroit...... 6.5

Indianapolis.................... 6................................ Jacksonville............................ Indianapolis..... 9

N.Y. Jets ................ EVEN.......................... Buffalo............................. Buffalo....... 5.5

Miami............................... 8.5............................ Tennessee................................ Miami............ 11

Washington............. 14.5....................... Houston.......................... Washington... 4

Baltimore....................... 4................................. Cleveland.................................. Baltimore....... 6.5

Seattle............................ 3................................. N.Y. Giants................................ Seattle............. 3.5

Philadelphia................... 7................................. San Francisco............................ Philadelphia..... 6

St. Louis..................... 2.......................... Arizona ........................... Arizona....... 4.5

Denver................ 3.5....................... New England.................... New England.. 7


Monday Sept. 25

Atlanta.............. 10.5............... New Orleans.......................... EVEN


The biggest differentials are highlighted, grab your calculator and figure them out yourself. Now here's the strategy. Detroit is giving Green Bay 6.5, I think think the games pretty close to even, take Green Bay. I have the Jets even with Buffalo, the Jets are getting 5.5, take the Jets. Washington should bury Huston, and Huston's only getting 4. Washington is the best bet of the early games.
For the later games I like St. Louis by 2, they're getting 4.5, take St. Louis. Fortunately, the game I'm least comfortable with is the late game. Naturally, New England is favored over Denver, but, Denver has the potential to win out right. Take Denver.
Lastly, the Monday night game turns out to be one of the best bets for the week. I like Atlanta by 10.5 and the line has them even. Probably because of all the hype about it being New Orleans big homecoming. Emotion or not, Atlanta is the better team.
If
you're ahead on the early games, bet both the later games. If not wait and see how St. Louis does. If you win that then go with Denver. No matter what happens, you should have a solid winner Monday night.

Once again I apologize for how shitty the layout is, but, I have to work with this awkward program.













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