NFL Picks

I went 1 and 1 yesterday and I'm not disappointed. That makes me a big deal 3-2. I did come to the conclusion to stay away from the "high school posing as college" games (Like TCU and Utah). It was only a test and, unless your an incredible degenerate, you don't want to bet those games anyway. From now on I'll stick to the higher profile games. There's only one tonight, Louisville and Middle Tennessee State. MTS is getting 30 points. My calculations come out to Louisville +27.5. Pretty close. My current theory is to take the favorite when the line is that close. So I'm taking Louisville minus the 30. That would be absurd if this was the pros, but the oddsmakers have been doing this longer then I have. I actually think this may be a good bet.