NFL Picks

Tuesday, October 10, 2006

 

READY FOR REAL BUSINESS

I'm overall 13-13 so far (see last post). My "unoffical" picks ended up 3-1. By this stage I've established some patterns, made some adjustments and I'm ready to roll. I'm also getting tired of posting the entire line when it isn't necessary. From here on in I'll be posting only my picks against the official line (as usually I'm using USA Today). I'm also breaking them into best bets and good bets. What's the difference? Depends on your bankroll. I'd recommend betting "X" on best bets and half of "X" on the good bets. I'll continue posting my overall record based on both the best and good bets(That would actually make me 16-14 to date, but, I'm not going to try and pad my meager performance to date). Track your own bankroll and profit.
I've made no comments concerning the last set of results since I just don't have the time for that this week. On with the NFL picks, best bets first(and I highlighted the pick in red):

Cincinnati +6 Tampa Bay:
I make the game even which gives Tampa a six point advantage.

San Diego +10 San Francisco:
Even after modifying their rating, San Fran still comes up 21.5 points worse the San Diego. That makes the Chargers a very good play.

Pittsburgh +7 Kansas City:
I still think KC is underrated and they haven't disappointed me yet. Take KC and the points.

Monday Night

Chicago +10 Arizona:
I'm not jumping on any bandwagons but I figure this line to be more like +20. The Bears continue to roll.

Now for the good picks:

Washington +9.5 Tennessee:
I'm not a big fan of either team, but my ratings make the Redskins 15 points better giving them a good enough edge to be playable.

Philadelphia +3 New Orleans:
Again, I'm not crazy about either team but I make Philly a touchdown better and still think the Saints are overrated.


There. You got six picks and I'm even telling you how to bet them.

College Thursday 12

Yeah, that's right...I'm going college. I'm dividing them up by best and good. Best are bold, good bets are red.

Clemson +44.5 Temple:
I hate college because of these gigantic spreads. Yet, I feel this one is really justified. Clemson should squash Temple!

Virginia Tech +2.5 Boston College:
I rate Virginia seven points better. Good enough difference for a college game.

Air Force +6 Colorado State:
These two come out even for me, so take Colorado and the points.

Build your bankroll Thursday with the college games. Use the same betting strategy here as you should for the pros.





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