NFL Picks

Sunday, October 01, 2006

 

WHY I HATE COLLEGE FOOTBALL

I decided to give it shot applying some of my handicapping techniques to college ball. Florida and Alabama was a nationally televised game and I found a site that gave access to some of the information that would help me analyze the game. I made Florida a two point favorite and the line had them at 15.5. In the pros I would have made that a solid pick. College is a whole different story. You'll never see 15 or 20 point spreads in the NFL (though I think you should). College bettors are rabid, emotional players and the oddsmakers know that. The lines move more often in college games so when I make today's pick 15.5 could be 16 tomorrow. That's what happened in the case of my pick. And the final score ended up Florida 28, Alabama 13. A winner, but by the slimmest margin. A win is a win I guess. When I tuned into the game, late in the second quarter, Alabama had a ten point led. Florida was driving, but I felt pretty good knowing they had half a game to make up a 26 point deficit. Sonofabitch if they didn't! That's what happens in these college games. It's too much emotion and too much inexperience from a bunch of kids just out of high school. You can't quantify that.
On the other hand, Nebraska was a twenty-something favorite over Kansas. They won in overtime by 7. How's that happen?
Anyway, I'm 1-0 for the college season and time and opportunity permitting I may try a few more. Meanwhile, I'm looking forward to a good day in the pros.

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