NFL Picks

Monday, November 13, 2006

 

GETTING EASIER

I'm 6-4 overall . Screw this separating best bets from good bets. One best bet a week (occasionally two). This coming weekend looks easy:

Kansas City -91/2 Oakland: Oakland stinks, period. Their defense is decent. They played Denver tough. KC lost to Miami. This line makes no sense. It should be a lot less. The bookies know what they're doing so give the points. Take KC -91/2.

Indianapolis and Dallas is a pick. The Colts squeaked by the Bills and Dallas handled Arizona. Tony Romo seems to be a good enough quarterback. This won't be a battle of the quarterbacks, it's who can out coach who. Tony Dungy proved Sunday he's no hall-of-famer. Parcells is. Take
the Cowboys.

New Orleans giving three to Cincinnati. I wouldn't bet any team that couldn't hold a 21 point lead (twice). The Saints win bigger then three, but giving up too many points won't keep the action even. Take the Saints.

Pittsburgh is giving three to Cleveland. Even though I'm not sure what to make of this game, I still think the Steelers are having problems, but Cleveland hasn't been looking too bad lately. If Pittsburgh is good enough to win, they're good enough to cover the three.

Philadelphia is giving Tennessee 13 points. This line makes no sense to me. Philly may have pounded Washington but that doesn't mean much. Tennessee played Baltimore close. I'll take the points.

Baltimore is giving Atlanta 4. Two weeks ago Michael Vick was the greatest quarterback in the NFL. What kind of line is 4 points? Take Atlanta and the points.

Carolina is giving 6 1/2 to St.Louis. Utterly ridiculous. St.Louis should be favored. Carolina sucks. Take the points.

Huston is giving Buffalo 2 1/2 up from 1 1/2 when they first posted the line. I have problem with this game. I think Buffalo could win, but I hardly ever pick them right. I watch all their games and they are a major disappointment. These two teams should be even, but, with the line going up, it looks like the "books" are begging for Buffalo money. Take Huston give all the points you have to.

New England and Green Bay. New England's giving the Pack six. Give it. The Pat's are far from done.

Tampa's only giving Washington 3. The Redskins don't have Portis and are going with a back-up quarterback. Tampa's got a coach that wants a few more wins. Washington seems to think their season's done and are "re-building". Tampa covers the three.

Chicago's giving the Jets seven. TAKE IT!!! The Jets aren't that good!

Miami and Minnesota. The Dolphins are giving up 3 1/2 here. I think they're finding themselves. I think they cover.

Arizona is giving 2 1/2 to Detroit. This is just like Buffalo and Huston. It makes no real sense to me. I'd figure it the other way around. Take Detroit and get the points.

Seattle is giving 6 1/2 to San Francisco. Should be bigger. A lot bigger. Take San Fran.

Denver and San Diego. I believe in Jake Plummer! He should have crashed and burned last week but came through it like a man. Give the lousy 2 1/2! They don't scare Jake!

Monday night has Jacksonville playing the Giants. And the Giants are getting points! Jacksonville just lost to Huston! The Giants played a strong half game against Chicago. The Jaguars ain't no Bears! The line is telling me they want action on the Giants. What to do? Give the 3 1/2.


There, I went through every game. Which ones are the best? I highlighted the games to play (and the ones that count) in red. Best bet? San Francisco getting 6 1/2 from Seattle.
That's six picks, one a best bet. No worse then 4-2. I may even sweep the board this week.

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