NFL Picks

Tuesday, November 21, 2006

 

HOW TO HAVE A HAPPY HOLIDAY

I ended up having a good weekend with my bettable games going 4-1-1. I expect similar results this week. Over the last two weeks I'm now 10-5-1. The trend continues. Bettable games in red (as usual) and if I decide on a Best Bet or two, I'll mention them at the end. Last week my Best Bet was San Francisco. Over all I was 8-6-1 on the picking. Here we go:

THURSDAY November 23

Miami is giving Detroit 3; I figured it to be four. I'm picking the Dolphins, but I don’t consider this bettable.

Tampa is getting 11 from Dallas. Tampa looked weak against Washington and Dallas toppled the unbeaten Colts. I don'’t think Washington is all that bad and the Dallas game was a matter of coaching. Tampa has pride and 11 points is a little too much. I like the Bucs.

Denver is only giving Kansas City a point. Up until Sunday night, I was leaning toward Denver winning the AFC. Kansas City barely got by Oakland. The line should be a lot bigger so I'd be tempted to take KC but I have to consider this based on who beat whom. I'm going with Denver minus the one.
Sunday November 26

Jacksonville is giving Buffalo 2 ½. Huston beat Jacksonville, Buffalo beat Huston. Must be the reason. Jacksonville is making a big run at the playoffs; Buffalo has a meager chance for a wild card. I hate picking Buffalo's games, but the Jags should cover this one.

Speaking of Huston, their getting 6 from the Jets. New York played the Bears tough. The line looks wrong. Another one of those games that tempt me to take the "“dog". Another game where I resist temptation. Take the Jets, give the six.

Pittsburgh gets three from Baltimore. I'’m still not sure about the Steelers. They may be getting it together and make a run. Take the Steelers and the points.

Cincinnati is giving three to Cleveland. The Bengals have been scoring. The Browns have been doing pretty good. If the line were 7 or more, I would have taken Cleveland. Since it's not, I have to go with the Bengals.

Arizona is giving six to Minnesota. This should be an even game. Take the Vikings and the points.

San Francisco is giving points to St. Louis? Six of them? This looks like Arizona and Minnesota to me! Take the Rams and the points.

New Orleans and Atlanta. I expect the real Michael Vick to show up this week so the three points are nothing. Saints cover.

Carolina is giving Washington four. I'm giving the Panthers an edge and 4 points is reasonable. Carolina can cover.

Chicago is getting three from New England. Tough choice. I give New England an edge based on class and Grossman hasn’t been looking good. If the Pats win, they cover.

Philadelphia is getting nine from the Colts. McNabb is out and I'd give the Eagles nine if he were playing. The books are afraid of giving too many points. Take the Colts.

The Giants are giving the Titans three. I have to go with the Giants here. It'’s all up to Manning.

Oakland is getting 13 from the Chargers. I want to think this line is too big. But if it were 14 the money wouldn't be spread evenly. Take San Diego and give the points.

That's seven bettable games. I like three a lot (Best Bets). The best are the Vikings and Rams, both getting six, and the Colts giving up nine. I'm a little shaky on Indianapolis but they are very capable of winning big. I just hope they think so.

Happy Thanksgiving!!!

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