First, a recap and Thursday's pick is at the bottom:
THURSDAY November 23
Miami is giving Detroit 3; I figured it to be four. I'm picking the Dolphins, but I don’t consider this bettable. RIGHT!
Tampa is getting 11 from Dallas. Tampa looked weak against Washington and Dallas toppled the unbeaten Colts. I don’t think Washington is all that bad and the Dallas game was a matter of coaching. Tampa has pride and 11 points is a little too much. I like the Bucs. WRONG! Damn!!! I thought this would be a lot closer! Started out that way, but, Romo is looking pretty damn good.
Denver is only giving Kansas City a point. Up until Sunday night, I was leaning toward Denver winning the AFC. Kansas City barely got by Oakland. The line should be a lot bigger so I'd be tempted to take KC but I have to consider this based on who beat whom. I'm going with Denver minus the one. WRONG! And wrong big time. Denver is done.
Jacksonville is giving Buffalo 2 ½. Huston beat Jacksonville, Buffalo beat Huston. Must be the reason. Jacksonville is making a big run at the playoffs; Buffalo has a meager chance for a wild card. I hate picking Buffalo's games, but the Jags should cover this one.WRONG! Buffalo won outright! What’s going on?
Speaking of Huston, their getting 6 from the Jets. New York played the Bears tough. The line looks wrong. Another one of those games that tempt me to take the "“dog". Another game where I resist temptation. Take the Jets, give the six. RIGHT! Jets are a little better then everybody seems to think.
Pittsburgh gets three from Baltimore. I’m still not sure about the Steelers. They may be getting it together and make a run. Take the Steelers and the points. WRONG! Steelers are done.
Cincinnati is giving three to Cleveland. The Bengals have been scoring. The Browns have been doing pretty good. If the line were 7 or more, I would have taken Cleveland. Since it's not, I have to go with the Bengals. RIGHT! They even covered my proposed 7!
First off, Minnesota is giving 6 1/2 to Arizona. Even better. I like Arizona better anyway. Take them and the points. I'm keeping this game a Best Bet. RIGHT! Arizona just covered.
San Francisco is getting 5 1/2 from St. Louis. Makes much more sense, though I still consider this game even. I may regret this, but I'm sticking with St. Louis since I think the 49 ers are overrated since beating the Seahawks. WRONG! After screwing up the line I should have reconsidered the “bettablity” of this game. I didn’t.
New Orleans and Atlanta. I expect the real Michael Vick to show up this week so the three points are nothing. Saints cover. RIGHT! Vick is back!
Carolina is giving Washington four. I'm giving the Panthers an edge and 4 points is reasonable. Carolina can cover. WRONG! The 4 points went the wrong way!
Chicago is getting three from New England. Tough choice. I give New England an edge based on class and Grossman hasn’t been looking good. If the Pats win, they cover. RIGHT! The Pats won and they covered!
Philadelphia is getting nine from the Colts. McNabb is out and I'd give the Eagles nine if he were playing. The books are afraid of giving too many points. Take the Colts. RIGHT! The Colts may be coming back.
The Giants are giving the Titans three. I have to go with the Giants here. It's all up to Manning. WRONG (and right). It was up to Manning and he choked.
Oakland is getting 13 from the Chargers. I want to think this line is too big. But if it were 14 the money wouldn't be spread evenly. Take San Diego and give the points. WRONG! This was matter of underrating the Raiders now that they have Brooks. Too bad it’s too late.
That’s 4-3 on the bettable games, 2-1 on the Best Bets. Over the last three weeks I’m 14-8-1, and 3-1 on Best Bets. Ta-Da!!!
Since I’m a little late at posting this, I’m putting up my pick for Thursday now. The rest of the picks will be up in a day or two:
Cincinnati and Baltimore. I make it Cincinnati +3 1/2. Line says three. I’ll take the Bengals, but this isn’t bettable.