NFL Picks

Saturday, December 16, 2006

 

SO FAR SO GOOD

Seattle got beat by Frisco, no surprise. That makes me 1-0 going into this weekend and nine straight wins. I have Dallas over Atlanta tonight. I made them a Best Bet when the line was 3 ½. Now it’s moved to –3. I don’t get it. I’m sticking with the Cowboys.
Here are the picks for the weekend:


Baltimore –10 Cleveland: Baltimore just getting started. A struggling Steelers team spanked Cleveland. This looks like a potential Best Bet. The line is Baltimore –11 ½. I can’t recommend this as a play even though I still think the Ravens will cover.

Buffalo –3 Miami: Both played pretty strong last week. Buffalo’s the more consistent team. The line is Buffalo –1. I think they win bigger, but no play here.

Pittsburgh –6 Carolina: Big mistake changing quarterbacks for the Panthers. The Steelers will eat them alive. It’s Pittsburgh –3. I thought I was being conservative. Take the Steelers.

Chicago –10 Tampa: Of course the Bears will crush them, maybe even shut them out. Less then 14 I’m taking the Bears. Turns out the line is –13 ½…no play here.


Green Bay –7 Detroit: The Pack has some pride. The Lions are horrible. The line is Green Bay –5. Pass.

N.Y. Jets –4 Minnesota: New York will bounce back. The Vikings will be fighting. Tough one. The Jets are getting 3 ½! I figured an even line at best. Speaking of “best”, this makes the N.Y. Jets a Best Bet.

New England –14 Huston: Line won’t be that big. The Pat’s will be a play. The line is New England –11 ½. Closer then I thought. Pass.

New Orleans and Washington: Doesn’t matter what the line is. The Saints will cover. It’s 9 ½…good enough for a bet.


Jacksonville –3 Tennessee: The Titans ain’t that bad and the Jaguars will be overrated since they stomped the Colts. Should be bettable. The line is the Jags –3 ½. Close, so no play.

Denver EVEN Arizona: I used to like the Broncos, but the quarterback change has turned me off. Arizona is the play if they get more then three. They’re getting 2 ½. Pass.

Philadelphia EVEN N.Y. Giants: Take the points. These two teams are even. It’s the Giants –5 ½. Take the Eagles and the points for a Best Bet.

St. Louis –1 Oakland: I don’t like the Raiders, but if they get too many points I may take them against the Rams. So, they’re actually giving points. The Raiders –2 ½. When’s the last time they were favored? I wouldn’t call this bettable but I think they cover.


San Diego –7 ½ Kansas City: The Chiefs are just not that good. The Chargers are explosive. I’ll wait for the line. The line is the Chargers –8 ½. Pass.


MONDAY DECEMBER 18

Cincinnati EVEN Indianapolis: An even game if ever there was one. Take whoever gets the points. The Colts are giving 3. I’d take them if I was looking for action, otherwise I’ll pass.


Between Sunday and Monday I can only come up with four plays. Not all that surprising at the end of the season. Two of the games are Best Bets. I did come up with six plays overall half of them Best Bets so it’s actually a typical week.

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