NFL Picks

Sunday, January 28, 2007

 

THE BIG GAME

Oh yeah, "The BIG GAME" is next week. I don't think I can refer to it as the Super Bowl since the NFL requires a fee if you use the the name Super Bowl. Have you noticed that? A lot of commercials for some of the biggest stores have them selling high definition televisions for "the Big Game". If they say Super Bowl in their ad they have to pay the NFL. They obviously don't need to pay the NFL since nobody says Super Bowl in their ads and it doesn't seem to be hurting the sale of their high definition, big screen televisions. The NFL is fucked up.
They're having a bi-week prior to the Big Game. That's a really good idea even though the players hate it, the coaches hate it, and the fans hate it. I've yet to hear anybody say it's a good idea to have a week off before the Big Game. I know a few casual fans who didn't even realize the Big Game was next week. They forgot all about it. I imagine that happens a lot. Anyway, here's my analysis and pick for the Big Game:

It seems to be offense versus defense. Defense wins championships so why are the Colts giving seven points? Chicago stomped the Saints like rats in a closet. New England couldn't figure out Payton Manning and got beat. New Orleans had a offense that would rival the Colts and couldn't do squat. I can't imagine the Indianapolis defense is any better then New Orleans'. Chicago rushed for almost 200 yards. New England couldn't get a running game going and the Colts wore them down by controlling the ball and by rushing for 123 yards. Maybe the Pats ain't that good after all? Chicago held New Orleans to 56 yards on the ground. The Aints passed for a superior 314 yards and all they had to show for it was two touchdowns. Meanwhile, the Bears had a passing touchdown and three rushing touchdowns. Say what you want about Grossman, he knows how to control a game.
I can't buy into the apparent fact that the Colts defense has become a run stopping steel curtain. Nor am I buying into the bullshit that the Bears defense isn't as good as it was at the beginning of the season. My first impulse was to take the Colts and give the points since they appear to be improving on defense. Then I thought back to their 15-6 "whipping" of the Ravens. That was a win based on stupid/lucky coaching. For the Big Game I expect the Bears to pull out all the stops. They can harass Manning all day and there's no way in hell they won't have a big running game going. Indianapolis, on the other hand, got this far on the back of Peyton Manning. Since he'll be on it for most of his time on the field I'm guessing this game goes down to the wire. Giving the seven is four points too much The Colts may pull out a win, but not by more then three. Take the Bears and the points.

Here's a big hint to predict the outcome as soon as as the Big Game starts: If the Bears don't throw on their first possesion, they're stupid and they're fucked. That'll will be the signal that they have no intelligent game plan and no chance to cover the spread. If you can get some kind of prop from your bookie to cover your ass, grab it. The Colts will end up stomping them.

On the hand, if Lovie's head wasn't up his ass for the last two weeks press your bet on the Bears anyway you can whether or not the first pass was completed.

PS: There's a few spelling errors on this post and I know it. I know it because the Google spell checker identified them. It underlines the misspelled words. However, when you actually try and run the spell check program, the motherfucker doesn't work. Those guys are assholes. Fuck it, I didn't bother to correct any of them. I want everybody to see how fucked up one of the biggest websites in the world is.

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