NFL Picks

Saturday, January 20, 2007

 

JUST A FORMALITY

I already picked the games for tomorrow and it seems like I took the two dogs. New England is getting three and the Saints are getting two. After watching the last couple of rounds of playoff games I'm beginning to suspect that the NFL is indeed fixed. From any perspective the odds lines are totally backward.
I assume the Colts are favored because they beat New England during the regular season by a touchdown. I also assume they're favored because the Patriots are probably going to turn the ball over five times this week, too. That and their five devastating field goals against the Ravens last week. The powerhouse Colts are favored over a team that defeated the San Diego Charges. None of this makes the least bit of sense to me. The Colts should be getting the points. Is it a matter of knowing the betting public or do the fixers in the NFL know that giving the better team points that the money will be so one- sided that the books will clean-up when it's all over. The proof will be in the final score. The Patriots will win if it comes down to talent. Otherwise, this is just another version of pro wrestling.
Chicago is giving New Orleans two points. In the world of pro football betting two points is meaningless. If you're dumb enough to accept "Defense wins championships" you're probably licking your wounds from last weeks Baltimore-Indianapolis game. The Bears just got past Seattle. The Seahawks didn't even deserve to make the playoffs. This should have been a warm-up for the Bears and instead it almost turned into their worst nightmare. They were saved by the dimwitted Mike Holgrem's inept coaching. The best thing anybody could say about Rex Grossman was that at least he didn't do anything to lose the game.
No such luck this week. Sean Payton knows how to coach. The Saints are well rounded team with a strong running attack and a quarterback who's a little better then "not losing the game" Grossman. Lots of assholes will be taking the Bears and the books shouldn't have to call in any "favors" to control this game so I'm looking for an honest effort and the semi-competent refereeing that you've come to expect from the NFL. The Saints will win this easily.

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