NFL Picks

Gobble gobble! Two for two on Thanksgiving! Last week wasn’t all that great as it turned out I went 3-3 and (not counting Thanksgiving) I’m now 37-29-1…do the math to figure out where I stand at this point. I should note that if I went with my numbers and not my gut I would have been 4-2 since Seattle was the pick over Chicago according to my numbers. So, here’s the new trend; I’ll post the official line and then give my spread. After I make my comments you can pick:

CHICAGO 2 Denver: I actually have the line at minus four for the Bears and that makes this too close to play. Pass.

Tennessee 1 CINCINNATI: I make it Tennessee –5. Another close one, another pass.

JACKSONVILLE 7½ Buffalo: Surprisingly (to me) I rate this game JACKSONVILLE 9½ Buffalo. After the pummeling Buffalo took from the Patriots I expected a much bigger line. Pass.

KANSAS CITY 6 Oakland: I make this an even game so take the team getting the points. The Raiders are BEST BET ONE.

CLEVELAND 3½ Houston: Another even game, another line too close. Pass.

Seattle 3 ST LOUIS: I rate the Seahawks a two-touchdown favorite. I don’t like picking them, but the numbers say Seattle is BEST BET TWO.

N.Y GIANTS 7 Minnesota: I make it a little closer, making the Giants a 3½-point favorite. Not big enough for a play. Pass.

New Orleans 2 CAROLINA: I have the exact line so I have to pass here, too.

TAMPA BAY 3½ Washington: I make Tampa three points better then that at a minus 6 ½. Again, not big enough for a play.

ARIZONA 10½ San Francisco: I have the same line. Pass again.

SAN DIEGO 9½ Baltimore: I have the Chargers at –6 ½, so it’s another pass.

NEW ENGLAND 24 Philadelphia: Holy shit! Twenty-four points? Somebody took a beating last week and it wasn’t just the Bills. The big boys should have taken this off the board but they probably don’t want to lose the action. I make the line 23 and believe it or not a pass game.

MONDAY NIGHT

PITTSBURGH 16 Miami: I have the Steelers by three touchdowns. They make me cringe lately but given the dearth of picks they barely make it as BEST BET THREE.

That’s only three picks today, but don’t forget the two from Thursday. And, for the record, since the lines so big and so close for the Pats versus the Eagles, I’d take Philly if I were ahead.