NFL Picks

Monday, October 08, 2007

 

Week Five 2007, Monday Night

Close, but I ended up on the losing side. I’m only down a game and Monday night is a chance to get even.

Here’s a recap:

NEW ORLEANS 3 Carolina: Carolina wins out right and big. BEST BET ONE. This was good start with Carolina covering the spread with a win. (+1)

TENNESSEE 8 Atlanta: Eight points seems big, but I like the Titans by two touchdowns. Give the 8 and still cover. BEST BET TWO. Eight points was big. Missed it by a point. (Even)

HOUSTON 5½ Miami: I make Huston a much bigger choice. I hate goofy lines like 5 ½ but the numbers say the Texans, big! BEST BET THREE. Did I say “goofy” line? Huston failed to cover; I should have taken the hint. (-1)

NEW ENGLAND 16½ Cleveland: This line is huge, but I like the Pats to cover it easily. Big lines always make me nervous. Then again, that’s way they make these lines. Pats are BEST BET FOUR. Huge line and they won by 17. Doesn’t get any closer, but it is a win. (Even)

Arizona 3 ST. LOUIS: I don’t like picking either of these teams and I suppose nobody else does ether. But my numbers say Arizona is BEST BET FIVE. Ended up being a push. You can’t factor in injuries. (Even)

GREEN BAY 3 Chicago: I hate to look like I’m jumping on the Packers bandwagon, but all the numbers say they cover this big. BEST BET SIX. The pack was looking good for the first half, but they not only failed to cover, but they lost outright. (-1)

That makes me 2-3-1 for the day and leaves me no choice but to take the Bills tonight to even things out. I have a hard figuring the Bills. They’re not that bad and the new guy at quarterback looked pretty good last week against the Jets. That, and the fact that the 10-point line just doesn’t sound right. But, my numbers say Cowboys big! Logic says the Cowboys should be easy winners. Then Why only the ten points? It's the logical of illogic as I make the Bills a BEST BET!

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