NFL Picks

Sunday, October 07, 2007

 

WEEK FIVE 2007

By the way, I was 6-2 last week, or 6-3 if you took my reluctant play on the Steelers. Still, that's a plus three last week. I'll run the numbers so far in a day or so.


NEW ORLEANS 3 Carolina: Carolina wins out right and big. BEST BET ONE.

Jacksonville 2½ KANSAS: The Jags should cover, but a little too close for a play.

WASHINGTON 3½ Detroit: Another line that looks about right, pass.

TENNESSEE 8 Atlanta: Eight points seems big, but I like the Titans by two touchdowns. Give the 8 and still cover. BEST BET TWO.

HOUSTON 5½ Miami: I make Huston a much bigger choice. I hate goofy lines like 5 ½ but the numbers say the Texans, big! BEST BET THREE.

PITTSBURGH 6 Seattle: I make the Steelers 7 ½ point favorites. Too close. Pass.

NEW ENGLAND 16½ Cleveland: This line is huge, but I like the Pats to cover it easily. Big lines always make me nervous. Then again, that’s way they make these lines. Pats are BEST BET FOUR.

Arizona 3 ST. LOUIS: I don’t like picking either of these teams and I suppose nobody else does ether. But my numbers say Arizona is BEST BET FIVE.

NEW YORK GIANTS 3½ New York Jets: I like the Giants, but the line’s too close. Pass.

INDIANAPOLIS 10 Tampa Bay: Line is twice as big as I’d make. My second ‘dog’ pick of the day. But, I’d say pass.

DENVER Pk San Diego: I’m picking Denver, but not strong enough. Pass.

Baltimore 3½ SAN FRANCISCO: Too close. Ravens should cover, but this is a pass.

GREEN BAY 3 Chicago: I hate to look like I’m jumping on the Packers bandwagon, but all the numbers say they cover this big. BEST BET SIX.

That’s six BEST BETS and I’m slightly above .500 so far. This could be a breakthrough week, but I’ve said that before. Monday night is a pass game, but here are the numbers (I refuse to pick a Bill’s game):

Dallas 10 BUFFALO: I make the line Even with their new quarterback, I see the Bills getting blown out. With the numbers I get for this game I’d make the Cowboys a BEST BET against any other team. Hell, if I’m 4-2 or better after Sunday, I’ll take ‘em.

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