NFL Picks
Sunday, October 21, 2007
WEEK SEVEN 2007
Last week I was once again on the winning side going 3-2 on my BEST BETS and in addition I called Monday Night right. But I can only take credit for the 3-2. I’ve got six BEST BETS today, and Seahawka game is the optional bet for me. If I’m up, I’ll take ‘em, if I’m down, I’ll look for them to bail me out.
WASHINGTON 8½ Arizona: I make it an eight point game for Washington. Too close to call so it’s a PASS.
NEW ORLEANS 8½ Atlanta: I expected a bigger line after the performance of both teams last week. Lines being what they are, Atlanta may cover this. My numbers say they can win, so I’m making the Falcons my FIRST BEST BET.
Baltimore 3 BUFFALO: If this was any other team, I’d make the Ravens a best bet based on my numbers with no hesitation, but I have an awful track record picking Bills’ games. Keep that in mid when I make Baltimore my SECOND BEST BET.
DALLAS 9½ Minnesota: I like this line. That’s about what I make this game…PASS.
New England 16 MIAMI: The best team in the league against possibly the worst team in the league. No reason to believe the Patriots will be showing no mercy, and the books can’t afford to make the line any bigger though they could probably double it and New England would still cover. THIRD BEST BET.
N.Y GIANTS 9 San Francisco: I hate nine point lines. I make the Giants a ten point favorite so this game is a PASS.
DETROIT 2 Tampa Bay: This line is way too close. And it’s going the wrong way. Tampa wins this big for my FOURTH BEST BET.
Tennessee 1 HOUSTON: Two teams that I hate trying to rate, but I make the Titans only slightly better then the line so I can say “PASS”.
OAKLAND 2½ Kansas City: I make this game even so I have to give it a PASS.
CINCINNATI 6 N.Y Jets: The Bengals should win, but it may be closer so this game gets a PASS.
PHILADELPHIA 6 Chicago: I like the Eagles by eight so this is a pass. This is one case where I think the numbers lie, so I’d take Philadelphia for the action, but recommend it as a PASS.
SEATTLE 8½ St Louis: The numbers say the Seahawks win by twice as much making them my FIFTH BEST BET. I can argue with my own numbers and in this case I do. Since this is a late game, I’d only take it if I’m ahead.
Pittsburgh 3½ DENVER: Another one of those out-of-whack lines. The Steelers should cover this with ease for the SIXTH BEST BET.
MONDAY NIGHT
Indianapolis 3 JACKSONVILLE: Monday’s have been good to me the last two weeks in a row, but I can only make the Colts slightly better so this game gets a pass.
WASHINGTON 8½ Arizona: I make it an eight point game for Washington. Too close to call so it’s a PASS.
NEW ORLEANS 8½ Atlanta: I expected a bigger line after the performance of both teams last week. Lines being what they are, Atlanta may cover this. My numbers say they can win, so I’m making the Falcons my FIRST BEST BET.
Baltimore 3 BUFFALO: If this was any other team, I’d make the Ravens a best bet based on my numbers with no hesitation, but I have an awful track record picking Bills’ games. Keep that in mid when I make Baltimore my SECOND BEST BET.
DALLAS 9½ Minnesota: I like this line. That’s about what I make this game…PASS.
New England 16 MIAMI: The best team in the league against possibly the worst team in the league. No reason to believe the Patriots will be showing no mercy, and the books can’t afford to make the line any bigger though they could probably double it and New England would still cover. THIRD BEST BET.
N.Y GIANTS 9 San Francisco: I hate nine point lines. I make the Giants a ten point favorite so this game is a PASS.
DETROIT 2 Tampa Bay: This line is way too close. And it’s going the wrong way. Tampa wins this big for my FOURTH BEST BET.
Tennessee 1 HOUSTON: Two teams that I hate trying to rate, but I make the Titans only slightly better then the line so I can say “PASS”.
OAKLAND 2½ Kansas City: I make this game even so I have to give it a PASS.
CINCINNATI 6 N.Y Jets: The Bengals should win, but it may be closer so this game gets a PASS.
PHILADELPHIA 6 Chicago: I like the Eagles by eight so this is a pass. This is one case where I think the numbers lie, so I’d take Philadelphia for the action, but recommend it as a PASS.
SEATTLE 8½ St Louis: The numbers say the Seahawks win by twice as much making them my FIFTH BEST BET. I can argue with my own numbers and in this case I do. Since this is a late game, I’d only take it if I’m ahead.
Pittsburgh 3½ DENVER: Another one of those out-of-whack lines. The Steelers should cover this with ease for the SIXTH BEST BET.
MONDAY NIGHT
Indianapolis 3 JACKSONVILLE: Monday’s have been good to me the last two weeks in a row, but I can only make the Colts slightly better so this game gets a pass.
Labels: football betting, football picks
posted by PONUSJOE # 8:37 AM 
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