NFL Picks

Sunday, November 04, 2007

 

NFL WEEK NINE 2007

Last week I was 3-2 (another winning edge, but nothing to gloat about) so I guess it’s about time I get a little more daring. Let’s get to it:

Washington 3½ NEW YORK JETS: Tempted as I am to take Washington, I’m calling this a pass.


KANSAS CITY 2 Green Bay: I can’t argue with success. The Packers are hot and I see them winning here. BEST BET ONE.

TAMPA BAY 3½ Arizona: This line looks about right to me. That makes it a close call and a pass, but I like the Bucs.

TENNESSEE 4½ Carolina: This line is one of those goofy spreads. Why not 3 ½? Could it be they want you to think twice about taking the Titans? My own calculations make this line just about right, but my “gut” says take the Titans for BEST BET TWO.

ATLANTA 3 San Francisco: I never thought I’d see the Falcons favored over anyone, but here it is. And here I am agreeing with it! Pass.

NEW ORLEANS 3½ Jacksonville: I liked New Orleans when the season started but they’re too unpredictable. Same for the Jags. I have to pass this one, too.

DETROIT 3 Denver: The NFL is made up of the Pats, the Colts, and everybody else. The Lions have become a force to be reckoned with among the mediocre. I have them as a –6, not good enough for a bet. Pass.

Cincinnati 1 BUFFALO: The Bills are hot, the Bengals are underachieving. It is this close a call; I’m going to pass.

San Diego 7 MINNESOTA: Maybe the Chargers have found themselves. Maybe not. I wouldn’t make them more then a touchdown over the Vikings. Pass.

CLEVELAND 2 Seattle: Makes no sense to me. Then again, I think the Seahawks are being victimized more by coaching then by their opponents. But Cleveland? The Seahawks win this one. BEST BET THREE!

New England 5 INDIANAPOLIS: The perfect line for the best game of the year? Maybe so, but the Pats aren’t taking any prisoners and they’re steamrolling everyone. This game could be a blow out either way and I’m going with the Patriots. BEST BET FOUR.

OAKLAND 3 Houston: Two teams I have a hard time with. Too close to call. Pass.


Dallas 3 PHILADELPHIA: I have no respect for Wade Phillips, but I respect the Cowboys. I have even less respect for the Eagles. BEST BET FIVE is Dallas.

MONDAY NIGHT


PITTSBURGH 9 Baltimore: this line looks fair. Baltimore is struggling, and the Steelers have something to prove and need to get rolling. They can cover and, since my Monday record has been pretty good why not make the Steelers BEST BET SIX?


I anticipated a leaner day when it comes to best bets, and I’m a little surprised I came up with six. Strictly speaking the TENNESSEE –Carolina game is a “gut” call, but there’s a lot of thinks to like about it from a betting perspective. I’m sticking with them all.

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