NFL Picks

Sunday, January 24, 2010

 

BRETT LOSES BUT I WIN

Sometimes it's scary how accurate I can be. Okay, sure, the Jets were actually winning at half-time but the finish was exactly what I had predicted and I was a "perfect" 1-0. And, actually I was a perfect 2-0 since the Vikings-Saints game played out exactly the way I anticipated. So, it's not too early to present the winner of the upcoming Super Bowl. I'll by pass the drama: it'll easily be the Colts.

The Saints certainly didn't deserve the win and thanks to the uncharacteristically horrible decision by Brett "Who Really Should Know Better" Favre in the final seconds of regulation play they squeaked out a victory. The fact is, after barely winning despite the very sloppy play of the Vikings (five turn-overs!?) New Orleans barely won (and that reviewed catch in OT clearly wasn't a catch). The only reason to put a dollar on them is because you believe in fate, destiny, karma, or whatever. It's not even remotely possible that the line will be 10 points and I'm doubting it'll even be seven. So, case closed. The Colts will cover whatever meager spread the 'professionals" will create. Keep in mind their only concern is balancing the books and this is the most popular betting event of the year (or maybe that's the Kentucky Derby). The line merely represents the sentiments of the betting public and we all know how stupid they are. This won't be all that close. Now a Colts-Viking Super Bowl would have been a great one.This will probably be over by the time the "Who" take the stage at halftime.

By the way, my numbers slightly favor the Saints. I make them two point favorites but as I stated earlier, the numbers aren't as accurate when the really good teams play each other during the playoffs. It's takes a bit more insight and analysis to deal with the really good teams and the prevailing circumstances. This is for all the marbles and obviously the Colts are vastly superior to the Saints in all aspects of the game. The Colts are the bet.

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