NFL Picks

Sunday, January 09, 2011

 

YEA, I GIVE A SHIT ABOUT THE NFL.

Last year's Super Bowl champs were humiliated by a team with a losing record.

Peyton “The Greatest Quarterback That Ever Lived” Manning lost to one of the most over rated teams ever to play the game.

Baltimore scored over 21 points.

And Micheal “I'm the League's MVP” Vick threw an interception in the closing seconds to lose a very winnable game.

It's clear the NFL is either fixed or these wild card poofs were all over rated. Next week will supply the proof either way:

Baltimore will be playing Pittsburgh and that should be a real game. The Steelers can easily win this one but I guess that depends on the line and what their bosses tell them.

The Jets will face New England in a blatant “no contest” match. There's no reason whatsoever to believe the Jets have a chance but I don't know what the powers-that-be want.

Seattle's playing Chicago and if the NFL decides to leave this one alone it's anybody's guess if Cutler will meltdown or not. They should just leave this one alone since nobody can tell what might happen. Hopefully there won't be a fix here.

Green Bay and Atlanta is a true contest and there's no reason to manipulate this one either. After their (the Packers) performance against the Eagles it would be crazy to bet against them.


Clearly the playoffs are being fixed. All the “non-calls” in the Seattle/New Orleans debacle makes that obvious. I suppose the refs can use the extra bucks. It's a major question if the NFL wants the Seahawks to advance or not. A great “Cinderella Story” for sure. In any event, you have to deal with the betting line. I don't know what it is at the moment but the Bears should win this. That being the case, the line will obviously be taking that in to consideration. Clearly, take the Seahawks here. The number doesn't matter.

Baltimore and Pittsburgh will be a real game and it'll be a close call. Anything like 2 ½ for the the Steelers is reasonable and honest. Any other line makes this game unplayable.

Likewise with Green Bay and Atlanta. The Packers are the better team and should win by more then three. I can't see the line being otherwise, though.

Here's the big question: Just how much can New England beat the Jets by? A line bigger then or equal to seven points makes the Jets the bet. Otherwise, the game can't be manipulated and New England will cover whatever the spread is.

Obviously the playoffs are being manipulated. Some teams concede to the fact, others are more resistant. It certainly appears that the NFL would love a Seattle/Patriot match up. They won't need to screw with the game. People will tune in for the “underdog” story and money will be made. The line will be 10 or 12 points and the books won't get hurt. But, clearly, the Seahawks don't have a chance against the Bears. A line bigger then 3 points demonstrates they know that and provides an excellent betting opportunity. This game will be close. Take the Seahawks and the points (assuming a reasonable 3 or more).

For the Packers and Atlanta, it's an even game so whoever gets points, that's the play.

Pass on the Steelers and Ravens unless Baltimore gets more then three.

New England and New York is the only doubt. Anything less then 7 points makes the game suspect. A 10 point line is the most reasonable but I don't know who is paying off who. Less then 10, take the Pats.

Labels: ,


Comments: Post a Comment



<< Home

Archives

September 2006   October 2006   November 2006   December 2006   January 2007   February 2007   September 2007   October 2007   November 2007   December 2007   August 2008   November 2008   December 2008   January 2009   October 2009   January 2010   February 2010   November 2010   December 2010   January 2011  

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?