Officially I'm 1-1 this weekend and unofficially I'm 3-1. The Jets surprised me and the rest of the world by actually winning their game and the Ravens just plain sucked. In my gut I knew that Baltimore was an undependable bunch and Joe Flacco is no quarterback. But I despised the way the "Dolts" ended their season and I didn't question my ratings when it came to analyzing that match-up. I wanted the Colts to go down in embarrassing flames and that tainted my view of that game. There's no doubt that Payton Manning is a great QB and Baltimore's highly over rated defense is a sham. It's really not all that tough to think that since they played only a few games against any kind of offensive opponent. They did impress me by spanking the Patriots and I should have looked further but, at the time, that was good enough for me.
Minnesota demolished the hapless Cowboys and nobody should be very surprised by that since Farve was his usually and expected self. The idiot analysts that expected anything else never took their heads out of their asses long enough to see the obvious. Yeah, sure, Brett Farve might crack under the pressure of that playoff game (since he never ever was in that position before). Can anything be dumber then saying that? Tony (Who?) Romo simply isn't that great of a quarterback. Add the idiot coach Philips to that equation and you have the complete formula for "LOSER"!
The Jets "stunned" the Chargers merely because both teams were over rated. During the entire NFL season nobody cared about San Diego and New York backed in to the playoffs based on the stupidity of Indianapolis. They certainly were good enough to knock off a marginal team like the Chargers.
Saint Louis toyed with the useless defense of Arizona and who was stupid enough not to see that coming? They managed to hold the Packers to
only 45 points and won in overtime on a fluke despite the fact that Kurt Warner had an excellent game. (And this is sarcasm for all you ESPN correspondents who are reading this) the Saints certainly don't have the offensive power of the Green Bay Packers. Jesus Christ, how stupid is that thinking? They ran-up another 45 and that has to be some kind of record of points allowed in back-to-back playoff games. What a surprise!
Next week there will be only two games left and that will be the Colts against the Jets, and the Saints versus the Vikings. My initial reaction is that I hope the Colts lose (as they deserve) but they are a better team. I'm also pulling for Minnesota but I do like the Saints.
I'm not checking the "official" line but here's mine:
Indianapolis EVEN New York: That's what my stats say. The Colts will be favored but I can't predict how stupid the spread will be. Maybe rolling over like complete fucking losers was a good idea the last time they played, or maybe they knew they couldn't win anyway. Or maybe they realized how easy it would be to trounce the Jets if they really tried. I'll be going with the latter and I'm taking the Colts to bring the Jets back to reality by mauling them regardless of the line. I'm highly doubting a 10 point spread for this game so right now the Colts are my pick.
New Orleans EVEN Minnesota: That, of course, will not be the line. I imagine the Saints will be giving up points. If I wasn't an idiot and a odds maker, I'd make the Saints a 3 point favorite just to get some money on the Vikings. I'm rooting for Farve and all but the real world is the real world. Drew Brees is Brett Farve ten years ago and Brett is Brett now. Football is a team sport and New Orleans is the better team. Nice try, Brett, but you ain't winning this one.
This post is simply based on the weekend's results and have nothing to do with the line that will be coming out. I haven't seen it yet. Knowing what I do about how the lines are made I have to predict that the Colts will be a seven-point favorite and the Saint's will probably be favored by three. Not a great deal to work with and, statistically speaking, not very solid plays. I'll have more solid plays in a few days or so. Right now the winners are obvious. It's just a matter of by how much.
Labels: football betting, football picks, NFL Picks